Saturday, September 20, 2008

When You've Got Nothing True to Say . . .

John McCain's response the current economic crisis has been remarkable. He literally has no legitimate arguments that he can credibly make, so he's forced to make some profoundly unserious and hypocritical ones. Let's look as at his radio address this morning.
"Good morning. This is John McCain, speaking to you from Green Bay, Wisconsin. Here and all across our country, people are wondering what exactly is happening on Wall Street. And with good reason, they want to know how their government will meet the crisis. Clear answers are hard to come by in Washington.

There are certainly plenty of places to point fingers, and it may be hard to pinpoint the original event that set it all in motion. But let me give you an educated guess. The financial crisis we're living through today started with the corruption and manipulation of our home mortgage system. At the center of the problem were the lobbyists, politicians, and bureaucrats who succeeded in persuading Congress and the administration to ignore the festering problems at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Let me stop here for a second. This is, quite simply, an astoundingly inaccurate diagnosis of the problem. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are, at best, a peripheral part of this story. As this industry expert points out, Fannie and Freddie were "nowhere near the biggest culprits in the recent credit bubble. They may finance most of the home loans in America, but most of the home loans in America aren't the problem; the problem is that very substantial slice of home loans that went outside the Fannie and Freddie box." The bad assets at the heart of this credit collapse are the mortgages that weren't sold to Fannie and Freddie, but were instead packaged and commoditized and sold to everyone else. The only reason McCain is focusing on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is because he thinks he can make a tenuous connection between those companies and Obama. It's all about distraction. Let's go back to his radio address:
These quasi-public corporations led our housing system down a path where quick profit was placed before sound finance. They institutionalized a system that rewarded forcing mortgages on people who couldn't afford them, while turning around and selling those bad mortgages to the banks that are now going bankrupt. Using money and influence, they prevented reforms that would have curbed their power and limited their ability to damage our economy. And now, as ever, the American taxpayers are left to pay the price for Washington's failure.
This is utter hogwash. Fannie and Freddie weren't leading anything. They were constrained by law to only accept certain kinds of loans. The problem was that a bunch of sub-prime lenders appeared on the scene and started selling new types of loans to people who couldn't afford them. If those lenders had been regulated the way Fannie and Freddie were, we wouldn't be in this mess. These sub-prime lenders flourished in the non-regulated environment Republicans allowed to occur and developed the sort of "innovative products" that McCain praised as recently as this month.

Back to the radio address:
Two years ago, I called for reform of this corruption at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Congress did nothing. The Administration did nothing.
That would be the Republican administration and Republican Congress, right? Plus, two years ago the housing bubble was already bursting. Action needed to be taken 7 or 8 years ago. And again, while Fannie and Freddie could have been regulated better, they weren't really the problem. The reason Fannie and Freddie eventually had to be taken over was because the housing slump got so bad that even home owners with conforming loans began to default.
Senator Obama did nothing, and actually profited from this system of abuse and scandal. While Fannie and Freddie were working to keep Congress away from their house of cards, Senator Obama was taking their money. He got more, in fact, than any other member of Congress, except for the Democratic chairman of the committee that oversees them.
Good grief. First, Fannie and Freddie were not a house a cards. The cards here were the mortgage-backed securities held by everyone else. Second, McCain's claim that Obama was taking money from Fannie and Freddie is dishonest as hell. He's basing this claim on the fact that some employees of the two mortgage giants have given money to Obama's presidential campaign (just like employees from every other company in America have). Obama hasn't taken a dime from any industry lobbyists. Moreover, as CNN just pointed out (I'll try to find a link), McCain has taken WAY more money from Fannie and Freddie executives, board members, and lobbyists than Obama has (the figures CNN used were $169,000 for McCain compared to $16,000 for Obama).
This is the problem with Washington. People like Senator Obama have been too busy gaming the system and haven't ever done a thing to actually challenge the system. The crisis on Wall Street started in the Washington culture of lobbying and influence peddling, and he was square in the middle of it.
The amount of chutzpah it takes to say something like this is truly remarkable. As McCain constantly points out, Obama hasn't been in Washington very long. He was only there for about two years before this campaign started. McCain was there for 26 years.  And not only that, but his campaign is literally run by former Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac lobbyists.  Rick Davis, his campaign manager is one of them.  And the notion that Obama spent his limited time in Washington in bed with lobbyists and influence peddlers is preposterous and not based on any actual facts.  Obama's chief legislative accomplishment was passing an ethics reform bill that the limited the influence of these people.   
The financial services industry -- and there are many honest and honorable people who work in it -- plays a vital role in our economy. Yet it's clear financial firms have lost the trust of the American people. Government has a clear responsibility to act and to defend the public interest. That is exactly what I intend to do.
I'm glad that McCain has had an epiphany and now sees a vital role for the government in regulating the banking industry, but there's just no getting around the fact that this is a major change in philosophy for him. As I noted earlier, McCain praised the deregulation of the banking industry in an article that was published this week. And he suggested we should bring the same deregulatory approach to health care. Meanwhile, Obama has been calling for tighter regulation of the mortgage industry since the day he joined the Senate and has long discussed the need for government regulation of financial markets.

What we're seeing here is a candidate who has absolutely nothing honest to say on this issue, the most important issue of the day. McCain's response to this crisis has been to completely distort not only his own record and that of his opponent, but to lie to voters about the nature of the very problem itself. This is a profoundly unserious and dishonest man who is flailing right now and doing anything he can to waive voters away from the obvious conclusions they should be reaching.

UPDATE: To be clear, I don't mean to absolve Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac of all responsibility for this mess. They played their part and pushed the envelope and definitely contributed to the problem. But it's ludicrous for McCain to suggest that these entities were The Problem or even the primary culprits. They just weren't. And claiming that they were is deeply misleading and cynical.
Digg!

5 Comments:

Blogger Quiddity said...

I heard on Washington Week in Review that 5 of McCain's "bundlers" were from Fannie or Freddie.

McCain's "linkage" of financial crisis -> Fannie -> Obama is absurd, dishonest, and vile.

1:58 PM  
Blogger Quiddity said...

Oh, and this comment. Your blog is one of the best at keeping track of McCain's slurs and lies about Obama - along with the moral outrage that it deserves. I'm amazed at what McCain has been saying, starting with the "Obama would lose a war to win an election" to lies about Obama's tax plans to charges Obama wants to teach sex-ed in kindergarten to an ad hominem attack blaming Obama for the financial crisis. I'm now in the astonishing position of disliking McCain more than Bush. Bush was bad, but McCain creeps me out. In my spreadsheet, McCain's offenses have totally offset whatever respect he deserved for being a former POW.

2:18 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I am absolutely aghast that a pair of major-party candidates could not only run a campaign this vacuous but apparently may actually win.

In case anybody missed it, I found this remark astounding coming from, as McCain put it, one of the foremost energy experts in the U.S.

"Of course, it's a fungible commodity and they don't flag, you know, the molecules, where it's going and where it's not. But in the sense of the Congress today, they know that there are very, very hungry domestic markets that need that oil first. So, I believe that what Congress is going to do, also, is not to allow the export bans to such a degree that it's Americans who get stuck holding the bag without the energy source that is produced here, pumped here. It's got to flow into our domestic markets first."

Sarah Palen, September 18, 2008

I suppose we should all be relieved that Governor Palin does not appear to be advocating flagging molecules, as it sounds quite time consuming. I am a bit surprised she did not accuse the Democrats of wanting to do this though.

As far as the rest of it is concerned, as near as I can gather, she is advocating not repealing non-existent bans on oil exports.

2:47 PM  
Blogger American Girl said...

I lost my mind when I heard part of McCain's speech on CNN last night. My favorite part was the opener:

'But let me give you an educated guess. The financial crisis we're living through today started with the corruption and manipulation of our home mortgage system.'

He's freaking guessing that was the problem. He's not completely sure. You think he'll get back to us when he nails it down?

4:00 PM  
Anonymous anticipointment said...

AL Im a fairly regular reader of your blog and find most of your criticisms of the McCain campaign to be insightful and fair, including today's, but I think Fannie and Freddie do deserve more blame than you seem to be allotting them.

One of the root causes of the mortgage market meltdown, as you note, was lax oversight of subprime mortgage brokers and other subprime lenders, especially in 2003-2006. This can be blamed mostly on Greenspan, who choose to pursue accommodative monetary policy that kept the real rate of interest below zero and did not heed warnings from Fed Gov. Ed Gramlich and others about the shoddy practices and recklessness in the subprime market.

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/18/business/18subprime.html

Greenspan's laxity stems fundamentally from his belief that regulation creates market distortions rather than corrects them. In retrospect, it seems obvious that combining negative real interest rates with a slapdash regulatory patchwork that allowed unregulated subprime lenders to grow rapidly by selling mortgages to fee-hungry ibanks without requiring the lenders to keep a stake in the mortgages they originated would lead to poor credit screening and abusive practices, but Greenspan and many of Bush's appointees were blinded by their belief in omniscience of markets.

Bush's three SEC appointees—Harvey Pitt, William Donaldson, and Chris Coxs—deserve some of the blame for the lax regulation of Wall Street brokers that led to the failure of Bear and Lehman. Pitt, who worked as a lawyer for the big accounting firms before his appointment, famously played soft with the accounting industry at a time when the SEC was investigating major accounting fraud at big corporations. Pitt was forced to resign for his role in the appointment of William Webster to head a panel tasked with overseeing auditors in 2002 after it emerged that Webster had served on the board of directors of a company accused of fraud. This pattern of appointing people that held views antithetical to the stated mission of the institution they were to head is standard operating procedure for the Bush administration and is partially responsible for creating a climate were regulators did not feel much pressure to enforce even existing regulations and Wall Street felt they could get what they wanted, which effectively meant self-policing.

William Donaldson, CEO and founder of Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette, took over the SEC in early 2003 and worked to fend off efforts by Bush people to dilute oversight of the accounting industry and other reforms in the wake of the Worldcom fraud. One of his first moves was to appoint Linda Thomsen to the second most powerful position at the commission, chief of the Division of Enforcement, and the former lawyer has gained a reputation as a dedicated public servant who would not ease back on enforcement of regulations in the face of pressure to do so. However, under Donaldson's watch, the five major ibanks (pre-Sept. 08) pushed for exemptions that allowed them to waive longstanding capital ratio requirements (12 to 1) in favor of in-house risk systems that allowed them to determine how much capital they needed. This was responsible for the massive build-up in leverage at the brokers to ratios of 30 or 40 to one and left them with too little capital when they were stuck with large mortgage inventories they couldn’t move when the housing bubble burst.

http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/2008/09/regulatory-exem.html

Although McCain wants to "fire" Chris Cox, he probably deserves the least blame of the three Bush appointees. Former SEC chairman, Arthur Levitt, a Clinton appointee who introduced Regulation FD and other measures to protect investors, has praised Chris Cox for standing up to lobbyists and other Republicans and not gutting Sarbanes-Oxley and for protecting investor interests. Cox's tenure at the SEC has been largely shaped by forces beyond his control, including his bout with cancer in early 2006.

Fannie and Freddie deserve some blame for the mortgage market meltdown. Fannie/Freddie were riddled with conflicts of interests because of their unique status as for-profit shareholder-owned companies with a public interest mission of providing low-cost capital to secondary mortgage markets. Their army of lobbyists did call on Democrats like Barney Frank for support in fending off stricter oversight when Republicans sought to do this in 2006 after a widely read report critical of Fannie's and Freddy's business practices was released. Like Frank Raines and Jim Johnson, most of Fannie/Freddie executives were Washington insiders who went there after leaving a high-powered government post. When the housing bubble began to get going, they saw an opportunity to inflate their bonuses by promising double-digit earnings growth to Wall Street and this led to the derivative/earnings manipulation/financial reporting scandal that came to light in 2004.

However, as on many of the issues, McCain and his team are focused on what is politically convenient rather than what is germane, and conveniently overlook the important role that Phil Gramm, as the author of the Commodity Futures Modernization Act, which opened the door to unregulated markets for credit default swaps, played in creating this mortgage market meltdown.

11:08 PM  

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