Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Was McCain's Stunt an Attempt at Palin Damage Control?

I'm serious.  The more I look at what happened today, the more I think it was all an elaborate attempt to stem the fallout from the truly disastrous interview Sarah Palin taped this morning with Katie Couric.  In that interview, Palin did two things that hurt the McCain campaign and, but for McCain's late afternoon shenanigans, would have garnered much more attention.  First, buying into the premise of one of Couric's questions, she all but stated that if no bailout legislation is passed, we'll be headed into the next Great Depression.  Even if true, that's not a very smart thing for a politician to say and, importantly, it all but foreclosed any possibility of McCain voting against the bailout.

Then she was asked a crucially important question about McCain's record on banking regulation, something she should have been prepped for:

For those of you who can't view videos, here's the exchange:
COURIC: But he's been in Congress for 26 years. He's been chairman of the powerful Commerce Committee. And he has almost always sided with less regulation, not more.

PALIN: He's also known as the maverick, though. Taking shots from his own party, and certainly taking shots from the other party. Trying to get people to understand what he's been talking about — the need to reform government.

COURIC: I'm just going to ask you one more time, not to belabor the point. Specific examples in his 26 years of pushing for more regulation?

PALIN: I'll try to find you some, and I'll bring them to you.
That is not a good soundbite. Not only does it confirm that Palin is in way over her head, but every time the clip is played, viewers get to hear Couric point out that McCain has a 26 year record of not favoring regulations.

While there's certainly a lot going on right now, I'm pretty confident that if McCain hadn't engaged in his late afternoon theatrics, those two Palin clips would have been in heavy circulation tonight and tomorrow, especially in light of the mini-press corps revolt that everyone was talking about yesterday.

I think the McCain campaign knew the Couric interview would be a disaster as soon as it was done taping and spent much of the day frantically trying to think of a way to push it out of the headlines. The clincher for me is the fact that McCain cancelled his Letterman appearance at the last second and instead sat down for an impromptu interview with, of all people, Katie Couric. The hope was to bump the Palin interview even on the CBS Evening News, which otherwise would have hyped and teased the Palin interview all afternoon and used it to lead the broadcast. Instead, CBS devoted most of its coverage to McCain and played segments of the Palin interview almost as an afterthought. Mission accomplished.

Now the McCain campaign is trying to reschedule the Vice Presidential debate. Undoubtedly they'd like to move it back as far as possible to give Palin more time to prepare. And it wouldn't shock me if they tried to cancel it all together or at least move it to a date where it can only dominate one or two new cycles before being eclipsed by other events (like a presidential debate).

Palin's favorability ratings have been sinking rapidly over the last two weeks and she is increasingly becoming a liability to McCain among independent voters. I think the campaign was worried that her performance today--if the media chose to dwell on it--could have done real lasting harm to McCain. And so they came up with this stunt, this idea of McCain "suspending" his candidacy, as a distraction.  I'm sure that's not the only reason they did this, but I think it was one of the primary reasons.  I'm hopeful that people will see this as the gimmick that it is. But regardless, it did succeed in dominating the news cycle and minimizing the attention that was paid to Palin's interview.

UPDATE: Okay, here's the full segment. It's cringe-inducing throughout. As you're watching it, try to picture McCain's aides standing in the background panicking.
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24 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

WHAT A DISASTER! I was going to vote for MCCAIN but he lost me with this interview. I never liked Katie Couric but she hit a bull's eye with the last question.
Somebody get Palin a shot gun....that's the only ay she can win a debate with Biden.

11:32 PM  
Blogger whatsyourevidence said...

Good observations, A.L. When I heard they were now trying to push back the VP debate, I thought: They'll string it along, argue about the reschedule date, and try to cancell it, ultimately.

I think McCain is walking out on a very long limb maintaining that he is not going to debate on Friday. Obama needs to kill him on this if he in fact doesn't show. The best way to do that?

1:13 AM  
Blogger Toby said...

Palin was not great in the interview, but maybe not as disastrous as you believe. I htink McCain may have seen a solution to a variety of problems ... the pressure over Rick Davis, Palin starting to stink in the polls, and what looks like an irresistible momentum building for Obama. He may have desperately grabbed this opportunity of the bailout crisis as a potential "gamechanger".

McCain is losing the press... he is becoming the Bob Dole/ Al Gore of this campaign. Pi**ing off Dave Letterman was not a good idea. Claiming to "suspend" your campaign while still giving interviews will seem weird.

Pulling TV ads is even weirder. Why would campaign TV ads prevent passage of the bailout?

I think we are all agreed that McCain has an agenda other than solely that of saving America. Politicians have a way of equating the public good with whatever is to their advantage. So there is going to be a bit of that, but McCain had something more in mind ... to try and dominate the news cycle for 24 hours or more, & give his campaign a boost like the Palin nomination did.

This all began when OBAMA rang McCain to propose a joint statement. Next thing McCain is running with it, claiming it as his "bipartisan" property, suspending his campaign, & calling for the debates to cancelled. It all looks over-dramatic, and I think people see it that way.

Not that it is a serious crisis. But Kennedy kept up his normal schedule during the Cuban Missile Crisis. The US, unlike other democracies, does not suspend national elections even during wars. Bush campaigned during wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, ...going back to Lincoln's re-election during a major Civil War.

I think most voters will call "Stunt!" and be right.

2:59 AM  
Anonymous Luke said...

I loved Letterman's comment when he showed a clip of McCain at the Couric interview: "Hey John! Need a ride to the airport!?"

McCain disses Letterman because he 'had to go to Washington right away to deal with the economy', then rushes off - to another interview with Couric. He thought Letterman wouldn't notice?

When my daughter wanted to know why we were laughing so hard, I told her it was just like calling in sick to work, then having your boss catch you on TV at a Giants game (I'm in SF, obviously).

It might have been one of McCain's best options though - besides being a serious candidate and politician of course. He was trying to distract both from discussions about his record (somebody in the MSM mentioned 'Keating Five' recently - time for emergency action!), AND Palin's interview.

He needed to appear both serious ('I'm so concerned about the economy, I'm willing to sacrifice my campaign to help, while Obama would sacrifice the economy for the presidency') and do something dramatic to usurp the emerging news stories. And delay Palin's debate.

As cynical and lame as it was, it was pretty clever given his few and deteriorating options.

6:27 AM  
Anonymous Luke said...

By the way, I wonder if McCain's campaign is worried about the *Obama* debate as well. McCain has been pretty out of it lately, with one gaffe after another, or obviously not understanding certain situations (e.g. the Spain interview). The media has mostly been willing to overlook those as outliers. But what if it happens in the debate? I'm sure the campaign has to consider that, especially when the news stories are providing Obama with a lot of ammunition, and fuel for some very difficult questions.

It'd focus attention on his age and health and possibly failing abilities. They'll try to spin it as 'deep concern about the economy', which the Right would swallow whole. But for rational people it would raise serious concern.

I'm aware I'm using a lot of 'what if' here, but it has to be a worry at the McCain camp.

6:43 AM  
Anonymous Kelly said...

Funny how she complains about politicians that just "talk" but acknowledges that is all she and McCain have done regarding foreclosures. If McCain can resolve the issues they must have a position on this.

7:31 AM  
Anonymous Bill Keane said...

File this under gratuitous suggestions from the peanut gallery, but I think that if Mcain does not show, Obama should host a discussion with Chris Dodd, Barney Frank plus Krugman and Buffett and maybe Lugar or Hagel. That would kill the "we need to be here in Washington" "man of action" bs immediately, as well as focussing attention on the fact that Obama is well advised, well informed and cool in the crisis.

7:57 AM  
Anonymous Anonny said...

Good analysis. I think the fact that McCain appeared on Couric's show while dumping Letterman clinches it. There is simply no other explanation for that move -- certainly he didn't need to fly to NYC if he was "suspending" his campaign to go to Washington.

Keep in mind, though, that in addition to the Couric/Palin interview there was a host of other bad news for McCain that would have dominated last night's news cycle if he hadn't pulled his political ploy:

1) The poll showing the 9-point lead for Obama. That would likely have gotten little play except for the fact his team called a press conference to denounce it.

2) The Rick Davis news, plus the McCain team's response, both would have piled on to the McCain-is-a-Liar and McCain-is-owned-by-lobbyists memes.

3) Then there is the National Enquirer story on Palin's affair, supposedly with affidavits and lie detector tests. Normally that can be ignored, but after the almost identical Edwards scandal a few months ago ....

7:57 AM  
Blogger Toby said...

What puzzles me is: when McCain arives in Washington, what exactly is he going to do?

He can amble around and meet Republicans. But no self-respective Democrat (except Joe Lieberman, and he's not self-respecting) will be seen dead with him. He seems to expect Obama to "join him in Washington" to give him some of cover with Democrats.

The word is that a deal is close ... as Obama said, injecting Presidential politics at this time is a bad option. McCain might like to pretend he is being "above politics" but I don't think he will fool anyone. Politicians are ALWAYS running for office, no matter what they say.

I notice Bill Kristol and others are trying to sell this as McCain being "indispensable" in Washington, and an example of his statesmanship and leadership etc.

How will they play it when he just wanders around attending makey-up "crisis meetings" with only his own party present?

8:21 AM  
Anonymous Farrapo said...

The horrible Palin interview may be a factor, but I think McCain suffers from Political Tourette's Syndrome. He stumbles from one stunt to the next blurting out seemingly random, impulsive, and often offensive things. It would not surprise me if he takes it all back and pursues an opposite course today. He is giving the American people a perfect demonstration of how incoherent, unbalanced, and dangerous he would be as a President.

I suspect these are behavior patterns he developed while imprisoned ... random illogical outbursts to deal with severe stress, plus a focus on getting through one day or event at a time with no real sense of the future other than a vague prayer to survive. He is running his campaign as if he were a persecuted prisoner who is alternately furious, vengeful, hopeful, and self-destructive.

8:46 AM  
Blogger Lisa said...

That's exactly what it is.

McCain has three goals here:

1. Hide Palin as long as possible. Every public appearance by Palin is a liability to the campaign.

2. Postpone the VP debate if possible. (See #1)

3. Try to trap Obama into joining McCain in the campaign moratorium and suspending any new Obama campaign offensives. Obama has announced in the last two weeks that he's going to let the dogs loose on McCain. McCain's hoping to prevent that as long as possible.

republicansforobama.org

9:28 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I do believe that McCain's actions are simply a knee jerk reaction to the disastrous problems facing his campaign directly related to his choice of running mate. She attended meetings about Alaska succeeding from the United States! Now she wants to be in charge of the country she wanted nothing to do with. How does that all fit together? And shame on McCain for choosing a running mate who would have considered doing that, or for not vetting her enough to know she had done that!

9:45 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I can't take McCain or Palin seriously anymore. Must keep doing all that is possible to make sure that Palin goes back to Alaska and becomes a loving grandma and that McCain returns to the Senate, bitterer and angrier.

10:00 AM  
Anonymous FP said...

great post. that was really dreadful to watch. I feel sorry for her, which I didn't think was possible.

10:02 AM  
Anonymous sparafulicci said...

I wouldn't be surprised to see Palin pull up stakes and head home for her own Alaskan crisis moment. Either that or she'll resign from the campaign (nah! wishful thinking). This lady is very proud. She must be really smarting and balking with the reins and halter she's being forced to wear.

10:36 AM  
Anonymous bonkers said...

Oh.

My.

God.

What the F *CK is happening to America that someone like Palin is a VP candidate. Is everyone taking stupid pills? My babysitter could do a better job. WTF!

America is NOW OFFICIALLY THE LAUGHING STOCK of the World.

Absolutely PATHETIC.

11:07 AM  
Blogger Toby said...

Here's a new spin I picked up on-line.

McCain intends to reject the bailout, vote against it and run against Bush, Congress and Obama as an economic populist saving the little guy from greedy Wall Street bankers and their political minions.

Its a pretty cheap political gimmick coming from a so-called "bipartisan" President.

Also, he rejected Obama's principles for a bailout which included everything he could have wanted. And how convincing is his status as an economic populist given his history as a "Reagan revolutionary" for small or no government regulation?

But we'll have to watch his political play closely over the next few days.

11:08 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

McCain's been taking shots from Republicans and Democrats. That explains his slurred speach!

12:09 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

OUCH!! If i were in charge of the McCain campaign, I would not let her talk unless she was reading a teleprompter.

1:00 PM  
Anonymous George Arndt said...

She was like a member of a high school debate team.

1:33 PM  
Anonymous SteveInAustin said...

I think the point missed by everyone here is that conservatives value facts and being able to recall them well in a debate less than they value showing respect and loyalty. Palin shows great respect and loyalty to McCain, and that's why you hardly hear any real criticism of her in conservative circles. They love her. She's like a conservative cheerleader or something. Sure she's fairly inexperienced and unknowledgeable, but they don't see that as being particularly important. "She's a quick study," I've heard them say dismissingly. This all has to do with value differences between conservatives and liberals, I think.

3:01 PM  
Blogger Toby said...

I've been watching this story during the day, and McCain's ploy is becoming clearer ... it is anything but bipartisan, it is a clear attempt to gain leverage from the bailout crisis.

Basically, he can get the House and Senate Republicans to stall the deal, then present himself as the indispensable deal-maker. Captain McCain saves America!

If the Democrats proceed without the Republican votes, he can reject the deal and run on that. Captain McCain sticking up for the little guy!

If the Democrats refuse to go on with the deal because of McCain's blatant playing of political games, he can blame the Democrats for destroying America!

The Democrats are in a cleft stick over this. It may end up Democrats supporting George Bush and Republicans attacking both of them. In the crazy world of John McCain, anything is possible.

There is more at stake here than a debate or Palin's gaffes. Reid and Pelosi (and Obama) need to work out a good strategy to deny McCain an advantage. Personally, I think they should call McCain's bluff & give the Republicans a time limit for a bipartisan deal, or no deal at all.

The irony is that McCains's phony bipartisan rush to Washington has just brought an extra element of instability that is making it almost impossible for the parties to reach agreement.

4:18 PM  
Anonymous Sariade said...

The choice of Sarah Palin was to appeal to the hardline Christian Right that has been quietly undermining the US political landscape since the mid-'80's. Check these links for the whole sordid story:

Her links to the Christian Right
http://tiny.cc/VlPIM

a Harper's Magazine article on the type of people who will vote for her: http://tiny.cc/amyZ1

Why we should be seriously concerned:
http://tiny.cc/K2rz9

I'm plenty scared of this woman.

11:30 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

McCain sure picked a winner! Sadly though, I don't think the GOP Regents pay much attention to the mental fortitude or intellectual capacities of their party's Presidential candidates. I mean, why bother, when those who make the real decisions are the same puppeteers who pulled the strings during the reign of Bush the Elder? To them the post of President is purely decorative, and they prefer a candidate willing to continue the charade. Evidently they found the McPalin duo ideal, being devoid of the capacity to think critically and lacking knowledge enough to challenge or even balk at their reckless decisions.

The shenanigans of the GOP during this campaign make all the conspiracy theories I had outright rejected seem plausible.

7:31 AM  

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